Israeli capitulation solves nothing
Begin’s capitulation in Camp David removed the Egyptian army from Israeli calculations – and regrettably so. Israeli politicians who rely on the American guarantees forget how many times America or other major powers failed on their guarantees. That will be especially easy with Israel, technically an aggressor whether because of the necessary preemption or because she encroaches on the Palestinians. America did not stop Egypt in 1967 or 1973, but arm-twisted Israel.
Demilitarized Sinai offers very little protection to Israel. The real protection was the threat Israel posed to Egypt when the I.D.F. stood on Suez; what security is better than that based on a credible and immediate threat? Sinai was demilitarized in 1967, and re-militarized with complacency of foreign powers urging restraint on Israel.
Islamists will come to power in Egypt (I have an article about it somewhere in the blog). Islamic Brotherhood already controls more parliament members than any other faction. And Israel will have an enemy with nuclear weapons. If not for Camp David, Israel would have destroyed the Egyptian reactor just as she did in Iraq, and now fails to do in Iran, placing her hopes with the U.S. instead.
When Arik decided to withdraw from the West Bank, he was not acting rationally, but simply bowing down to the political pressure. Arthur Koestler, Darkness at Noon. I almost feel that nausea. Arik, the battlefield lion, was outfoxed in politics.
Indeed, Israel would be an occupying power if retaining the West Bank. Except if she transferred the Arabs to Jordan. That simple. One week. Few billions in resettlements costs. Lasting peace.
Demilitarized Sinai offers very little protection to Israel. The real protection was the threat Israel posed to Egypt when the I.D.F. stood on Suez; what security is better than that based on a credible and immediate threat? Sinai was demilitarized in 1967, and re-militarized with complacency of foreign powers urging restraint on Israel.
Islamists will come to power in Egypt (I have an article about it somewhere in the blog). Islamic Brotherhood already controls more parliament members than any other faction. And Israel will have an enemy with nuclear weapons. If not for Camp David, Israel would have destroyed the Egyptian reactor just as she did in Iraq, and now fails to do in Iran, placing her hopes with the U.S. instead.
When Arik decided to withdraw from the West Bank, he was not acting rationally, but simply bowing down to the political pressure. Arthur Koestler, Darkness at Noon. I almost feel that nausea. Arik, the battlefield lion, was outfoxed in politics.
Indeed, Israel would be an occupying power if retaining the West Bank. Except if she transferred the Arabs to Jordan. That simple. One week. Few billions in resettlements costs. Lasting peace.
posted by Danny at 1:51 PM
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